|
Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. Dec. 7-11,
2022. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. LV = likely
voters. Among registered voters, except where noted. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2024 presidential election were between Democrat Joe Biden and
Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for or lean toward?" |
| |
|
|
|
Joe
Biden (D) |
Donald
Trump (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Would
not
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
12/7-11/22 |
47 |
40 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
| |
10/19-24/22 LV |
46 |
42 |
5 |
2 |
6 |
| |
7/22-25/22 |
45 |
41 |
6 |
3 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you want Joe Biden to run for reelection in 2024, yes or no?" |
| |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
12/7-11/22 |
23 |
67 |
9 |
1 |
|
| |
10/19-24/22 LV |
26 |
64 |
10 |
1 |
|
| |
7/22-25/22 |
22 |
69 |
9 |
1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you want Donald Trump to run for president in 2024, yes or no?" |
| |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
12/7-11/22 |
25 |
69 |
6 |
- |
|
| |
10/19-24/22 LV |
27 |
68 |
4 |
1 |
|
| |
7/22-25/22 |
28 |
65 |
6 |
1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you want Florida Governor Ron DeSantis to run for president in 2024, yes
or no?" N=374 Republicans and conservative independents; margin of error
± 5.1 |
| |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
| |
12/7-11/22 |
65 |
24 |
12 |
0 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which Republican, Donald Trump or Ron DeSantis, do you prefer to be the
2024 Republican nominee for president?" Options rotated. N=374
Republicans and conservative independents; margin of error ± 5.1. |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ron DeSantis |
56 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
33 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Neither (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2024 presidential election were between Democrat Joe Biden and
Republican Ron DeSantis, who would you vote for or lean toward?" |
| |
|
|
|
Joe
Biden (D) |
Ron
DeSantis (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Would
not
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
12/7-11/22 |
43 |
47 |
2 |
1 |
8 |
|
|
CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Nov. 26-30, 2022. N=801
adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Donald Trump should run for president in 2024, or Donald Trump
should not run for president in 2024?" |
| |
|
|
|
Should
run |
Should
not run |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
11/26-30/22 |
30 |
61 |
9 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Joe Biden should run for president in 2024, or Joe Biden
should not run for president in 2024?" |
| |
|
|
|
Should
run |
Should
not run |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
11/26-30/22 |
19 |
70 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Nov. 16-20, 2022. N=1,402 registered
voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you like to see Joe Biden run for president in 2024, or not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Would like
to see |
Would
not |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
11/16-20/22 |
25 |
68 |
7 |
|
|
| |
7/14-18/22 |
26 |
70 |
5 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As you may know, former President Donald Trump announced he is running for
president in 2024. Do you think that is a good thing or a bad thing?" |
| |
|
|
|
Good
thing |
Bad
thing |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
11/16-20/22 |
32 |
59 |
9 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you like to see Florida Governor Ron DeSantis run for president in
2024, or not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Would like
to see |
Would
not |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
11/16-20/22 |
38 |
45 |
17 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Who would you prefer to win the Republican nomination for president in
2024, if the candidates were Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis?" Among
Republican voters |
| |
|
|
|
Republican
voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ron DeSantis |
45 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
43 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure/No answer |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How likely do you think it is that Donald Trump will win another
presidential election: very likely, somewhat likely, not so likely, or not
likely at all?" |
| |
|
|
|
Very
likely |
Somewhat
likely |
Not so
likely |
Not likely
at all |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
11/16-20/22 |
17 |
29 |
24 |
26 |
4 |
|
|
Marist Poll. Nov. 14-16, 2022. Registered voters
nationwide.
10/21: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Republicans have a better chance of winning the presidency in
2024 if Donald Trump is the party's nominee, or if someone else is the
party's nominee?" N=517 Republicans and Republican leaning
independents; margin of error ± 6.9 |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump |
Someone
else |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
11/14-16/22 |
35 |
54 |
11 |
|
|
| |
10/18-22/21 |
50 |
35 |
14 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Democrats have a better chance of winning the presidency in
2024 if Joe Biden is the party's nominee, or if someone else is the party's
nominee?" N=572 Democrats and Democratic leaning independents; margin of error ± 6.5 |
| |
|
|
|
Joe
Biden |
Someone
else |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
11/14-16/22 |
38 |
54 |
8 |
|
|
| |
10/18-22/21 |
36 |
44 |
20 |
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company
Research (R). Oct. 9-12, 2022. N=1,206 registered voters nationwide. Margin
of error ± 2.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2024 presidential election were held today, would you vote to
reelect Joe Biden or vote for someone else?" |
| |
|
|
|
Vote to
reelect
Biden |
Vote for
someone
else |
Too soon
to say
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
10/9-12/22 |
33 |
54 |
9 |
2 |
1 |
| |
1/16-19/22 |
36 |
60 |
3 |
- |
- |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 18-21, 2022. N=1,006 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you like the Democratic Party to nominate Biden to run for a second
term as president in 2024, or would you like the Democratic Party to
nominate someone other than Biden as its candidate for president?" Asked
of Democrats and Democratic leaners |
| |
|
|
|
Biden |
Someone
else |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
9/18-21/22 |
35 |
56 |
9 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you like the Republican Party to nominate Trump to run for another
term as president in 2024, or would you like the Republican Party to
nominate someone other than Trump as its candidate for president?" Asked
of Republicans and Republican leaners |
| |
|
|
|
Trump |
Someone
else |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
9/18-21/22 |
47 |
46 |
7 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2024 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Donald Trump, the Republican, and Joe Biden, the Democrat, for whom
would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Trump or Biden?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Joe
Biden (D) |
Donald
Trump (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Would not
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
9/18-21/22 |
48 |
46 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
New York Times/Siena College Poll. Sept. 6-14, 2022. N=1,399
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for
if the candidates were Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the
Republican?" If unsure:
"If you had to decide today, are you leaning towards one candidate?"
7/22: Excludes lean follow-up. |
| |
|
|
|
Joe
Biden (D) |
Donald
Trump (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Would
not
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
9/6-14/22 |
45 |
42 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
| |
7/5-7/22 |
44 |
41 |
4 |
6 |
4 |
|
|
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. Aug. 29-Sept. 1, 2022. N=1,236 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you want Donald Trump to run for president in 2024, or not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Want Trump
to run |
Do not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
8/29 - 9/1/22 |
33 |
61 |
5 |
|
|
| |
12/1-6/20 |
32 |
60 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. July 28-Aug. 1, 2022. N=808 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Donald Trump runs for president in 2024, would you definitely vote for
him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not
vote for him?" |
| |
|
|
|
Definitely
vote for |
Probably
vote for |
Probably
not vote for |
Definitely
not vote for |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
7/28 - 8/1/22 |
23 |
17 |
8 |
48 |
3 |
|
|
Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. July 22-25, 2022. N=440 Democratic
voters nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Joe Biden doesn't seek the 2024 Democratic nomination, which of the
following seven Democrats would you vote for or lean toward in your
Democratic primary or caucus: Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg,
former Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, Vice President Kamala Harris,
Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar, California Governor Gavin Newsom, New York
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, or Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders?" Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Kamala Harris |
18 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Bernie Sanders |
18 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Pete Buttigieg |
16 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Amy Klobuchar |
11 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
10 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Gavin Newsom |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Hillary Clinton |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. July 22-25, 2022. N=414 Republican
voters nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which of the following seven candidates seeking the 2024 Republican primary
nomination for president would you vote for or lean toward: Wyoming Rep. Liz
Cheney, former New Jersey governor Chris Christie, Florida Governor Ron
DeSantis, former UN ambassador Nikki Haley, former vice president Mike
Pence, former secretary of state Mike Pompeo, or former president Donald
Trump?" Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
43 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ron DeSantis |
34 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Pence |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Liz Cheney |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Nikki Haley |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Chris Christie |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Pompeo |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. July 14-18, 2022. N=1,523 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you like to see Donald Trump run for president in 2024, or not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Would like
to see |
Would not |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
7/14-18/22 |
32 |
64 |
4 |
|
|
| |
1/7-10/22 |
33 |
59 |
8 |
|
|
| |
10/15-18/21 |
35 |
58 |
7 |
|
|
| |
5/18-24/21 |
30 |
66 |
4 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you like to see Joe Biden run for president in 2024, or not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Would like
to see |
Would not |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
7/14-18/22 |
24 |
71 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company
Research (R). July 10-13, 2022. N=1,001 registered voters nationwide. Margin
of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you like to see Joe Biden run for president again in 2024, or not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Would
like to see |
Would
not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
7/10-13/22 |
27 |
71 |
2 |
|
|
| |
2/19-22/22 |
32 |
64 |
4 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you like to see Donald Trump run for president again in 2024, or
not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Would
like to see |
Would
not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
7/10-13/22 |
37 |
60 |
3 |
|
|
| |
2/19-22/22 |
40 |
56 |
3 |
|
|
| |
12/6-9/20 |
37 |
57 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
New York Times/Siena College Poll. July 5-7, 2022.
N=849 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among respondents who
say they will vote in the Republican presidential primary in 2024. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican 2024 presidential primary were held today, who would you
vote for if the candidates were [see below]?" Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump |
49 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ron DeSantis |
25 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Ted Cruz |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Pence |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Nikki Haley |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Mike Pompeo |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Someone else |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
New York Times/Siena College Poll. July 5-7, 2022.
N=849 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among respondents who
say they will vote in the Democratic presidential primary in 2024. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think the Democratic Party should renominate Joe Biden as the
party's candidate for president in 2024, or do you think the party should
nominate a different candidate for president in 2024?" |
| |
|
|
|
Should
renominate
Biden |
Should
nominate
a different
candidate |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
7/5-7/22 |
26 |
64 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. June 1-20, 2022. N=900 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political
office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about President Biden?" |
| |
|
|
|
Deserves to
be reelected |
Does not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
6/1-20/22 |
33 |
67 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. Nov. 3-5, 2021. N=1,000 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you hope Joe Biden runs for another term as president in 2024 - yes or
no?" |
| |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
11/3-5/21 |
29 |
64 |
7 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you hope Donald Trump runs for another term as president in 2024 – yes
or no?" |
| |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
11/3-5/21 |
36 |
58 |
6 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the presidential election were today, and it was a rematch between Joe
Biden and Donald Trump, which one would you vote for: Biden, Trump, or a
third-party candidate?" |
| |
|
|
|
Joe
Biden |
Donald
Trump |
Third-party
candidate |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
11/3-5/21 |
40 |
44 |
11 |
1 |
5 |
|
|
Grinnell College National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Oct.
13-17, 2021. N=745 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the general election were held today, and the candidates for president
were Joe Biden for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans, for
whom would you vote: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, someone else, or would you not
vote?"
Candidate options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Joe
Biden (D) |
Donald
Trump (R) |
Someone
else |
Would
not vote |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
| |
10/13-17/21 |
40 |
40 |
14 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
